Skip to main content

Decadal change of global wave energy based on JRA-55 dataset

Abstract

Reliable  wave  resource  characterization  is necessary  for  the  accurate  estimation  of  available  resources. However,  a  minimum  of  10  years  has  been  recommended for  such  analysis,  considering  the  impact  of  changing climate  on  the  selection  of  a  suitable  period  for  wave  energy assessment  is  necessary.  Hence,  in  this  work,  we  used  more than  five  decades  of  wave  characteristics  simulated  globally to  investigate  the  role  of  selecting  the  period  of  wave  energy assessment  in  the  estimation  of  available  resources.  For  this purpose,  the  numerical  simulation  of  waves  was  carried  out globally  using  Simulating  WAves  Nearshore  (SWAN) model  forced  with  global  re-analysis  wind  data,  JRA-55, developed  by  Japan  Meteorological  Agency  (JMA).  The performance  of  the  model  was  investigated  using  ERA-5  reanalysis  wave  data.  Comparison  of  monthly  mean  wave characteristics  showed  a  reliable  performance  of  SWAN  at  a global  scale,  even  though  the  model  has  been  developed  for nearshore  wave  modeling  purposes.  The  validated  model was  then  used  to  generate  the  wave  characteristics  for  55 years.  The  wave  characteristics  in  5  decades  were  analyzed not  only  intra-annually  but  also  on  a  multi-decadal  scale.  In addition,  the  wave  climate  and  wave  energy  were  obtained at  different  time  scales,  and  the  results  were  compared  with 55-yearly  wave climate, and the  impact of  selecting  different intervals  was  discussed.  Moreover,  the  relationship between  the  change  of  different  wave  parameters  and  the change  of wave  energy  in  the  long-term  was  assessed.