Abstract
This paper provides a comprehensive report on the technical evaluation and commercialization potential of Japan's first large-scale demonstration project using a 500 kW-class tidal turbine. Conducted in Naru Strait, Goto City, Nagasaki Prefecture, between 2019 and 2021, the project marked a groundbreaking effort in Japan's tidal power sector. It focused on key aspects such as the stability of the power generation system, predictability, environmental impact, and technical challenges encountered during the installation process. The tidal turbine used for the project was a seabed-mounted model manufactured by SIMEC Atlantis Energy in the United Kingdom. Over the course of approximately 11 months, stable operation was achieved, exceeding expectations regarding its operational performance. In addition, a highly accurate power generation forecasting method was developed, leveraging the natural periodicity of tidal currents, and this provided significant insights into the potential for commercialization. This project laid the foundation for the future commercialization of tidal power in Japan. However, several challenges remain as critical next steps towards commercialization, such as grid integration, greater involvement of domestic and local companies (particularly in the assembly and installation stages), and ensuring the overall economic viability of the business. Since April 2022, the project has entered “Phase 2,” during which efforts to address these technical and economic challenges have been intensified. With these efforts, further progress is expected towards the full-scale commercialization of tidal power generation.