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Effect of Submarine Cables and Variable Bathymetry on Wave Energy Converter Park Optimization: A Genetic Algorithm Study in Todos Santos Bay, Mexico

Abstract

Todos Santos Bay, Mexico, features several wave-focusing areas driven by its complex bathymetry, making it an ideal real-world test case for wave energy converter (WEC) park optimization. This study quantifies the influence of submarine cable costs and bathymetry-dependent mooring costs on the proposed park layout (hereafter the star-layout) and the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of a 10-device WEC park, using a multi-state operational wave climatology of N =179 representative sea states from a 2008–2018 SNL-SWAN hindcast (covering 97.20% of the annual time). A binary genetic algorithm combined with K-means clustering analysis was used to minimize LCOE under three cost scenarios: baseline, cable-only, and cable plus bathymetry-dependent mooring. Both infrastructure cost components contribute substantially: cable costs add 52.2% to the baseline LCOE, and bathymetry-dependent mooring costs add a further 16.0% at this site, with cable approximately three times more impactful. These quantitative magnitudes are conditioned on the moderate depth-gradient setting of Todos Santos Bay; the qualitative cost-component hierarchy is expected to generalize, but the relative weights will depend on the bathymetric and wave-climate characteristics of each candidate site. The mooring contribution is nontrivial both economically and spatially (the centroid of the park shifts by approximately 151 m between the cable-only and cable-plus-depth scenarios). K-means clustering identified 2–4 layout families per scenario (K =4→3→2 as cost components are added), indicating that infrastructure constraints reduce the viable solution space. These results support the central hypothesis of this work: WEC park optimization studies that adopt flat-bathymetry simplifications, the prevailing assumption in much of the prior literature, risk substantial underestimation of LCOE at sites with nontrivial depth variation. We recommend that bathymetry-dependent mooring costs be included alongside cable costs in any early-stage techno-economic assessment of WEC parks at sites with complex bathymetry.

Effect of Submarine Cables and Variable Bathymetry on Wave Energy Converter Park Optimization: A Genetic Algorithm Study in Todos Santos Bay, Mexico is located in Mexico.